S&P hit record high, bond yields up as markets eye Trump’s next move

By Amanda Cooper and Koh Gui Qing

LONDON/NEW YORK (Reuters) -The S&P 500 hit a record high on Thursday after U.S. President Donald Trump said he would push for lower interest rates, providing a fillip to stock markets amid investor caution about his next moves on trade.

In a sign of policies to come, Trump told business leaders at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Thursday that he wants to lower global oil prices, interest rates and taxes, and warned of tariffs on exports to the United States.

“I’ll demand that interest rates drop immediately. And likewise, they should be dropping all over the world,” Trump said from Washington via video conference on Thursday.

Investors are most nervous about Trump’s possible plans for tariffs. With no new details, the uncertainty weighed on bond markets. Treasury yields rose for a second day as bond investors braced for eventual tariffs that may stoke inflation. [US/]

“President Trump’s policies are creating the perfect storm of inflationary pressures,” said Nigel Green, CEO of deVere Group, a financial advisory firm.

Another buildup in price pressures could cause the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, he added. “The Fed may have no choice but to act. This could trigger significant market volatility.”

The S&P 500 finished up 0.5% after hitting an all-time high of 6,118.73 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.9% and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.2%. The MSCI index for global stocks gained 0.5%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield <US10YT=RR > climbed 4.7 basis points to 4.6456%, below last week’s 14-month high of 4.809%. [US/]

“Obviously, it’s early days. … We have seen no surprises (from Trump) so far,” said Guy Miller, chief markets strategist at Zurich Insurance Group.

“If anything, some restraint was shown. So that has allowed the financial markets to reprice to some extent, allowing bond yields to come back in again and risk assets to move higher.”

In Europe, the STOXX 600, which hit a record high on Wednesday, edged up 0.4%, as some selling pressure abated on technology shares which had soared after Trump announced a $500 billion private-sector AI infrastructure investment plan.

The joint venture, which involves Oracle, OpenAI and SoftBank, initially turbocharged a rally in global stock markets, which drew further support from upbeat earnings.

On Asian markets overnight, Japan’s Nikkei gained 0.8%. Shares of SoftBank jumped 5%.

In China, the government announced plans to channel hundreds of billions of yuan of investment from state-owned insurers into shares, just after Trump said he was proposing to slap a 10% punitive duty on Chinese imports.

The CSI300 blue-chip index ended up 0.18%, while the yuan weakened against the dollar to 7.289 in offshore trading.

TARIFF THREATS

Currency markets were largely subdued after a volatile few sessions since Trump’s return to the White House, driven by his pronouncements on tariffs early in the week.

Trump has said he plans to impose duties on imports from Mexico and Canada from Feb. 1 and has said he will apply tariffs on imports from the European Union.

Without further specifics, the dollar struggled to push higher and Thursday’s data reinforced the idea among traders that the Fed may have more room to lower rates this year.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the currency against six others, languished near a two-week low of 108.10.

The euro was steady at $1.04180, while sterling nudged up to $1.2353.

“The threat of tariffs continues to hang over markets, but the rapidly declining half life of headlines shows you the market is already numb to the shenanigans,” said Brent Donnelly, president at Spectra Markets.

Ahead of the Bank of Japan’s policy decision on Friday, the dollar rose to a one-week high against the yen at 156.19 before retreating to 155.97. Markets have already fully priced in a 25-basis-point rate hike at the conclusion of the meeting.

Oil prices remained below $80 a barrel, under pressure after Trump said he will be asking Saudi Arabia and OPEC to bring down oil prices. Investors also worried how Trump’s proposed tariffs could affect global economic growth and demand for energy.

Brent crude futures fell 1.4% on the day to $77.89 a barrel. [O/R]

(Reporting by Koh Gui Qing in New York and Amanda Cooper in London; Additional reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe in London; Editing by Mark Potter, Rod Nickel, Matthew Lewis and Richard Chang)

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