LONDON (Reuters) -British grocery inflation held steady last month, helped by supermarket promotions which shoppers are increasingly relying on to keep their bills low amid worries over the cost of living.
Supermarkets have warned that tax rises in the new Labour government’s first budget in October, together with another hike in the national minimum wage, will be inflationary this year.
Britain’s headline rate of inflation hit a 10-month high of 3% in January and the Bank of England forecasts it will climb further to 3.7% later this year, while industry researcher, the Institute of Grocery Distribution has forecast food inflation could hit nearly 5% this year.
Market researcher Kantar said on Tuesday annual grocery price inflation was 3.3% in the four weeks to February 23, the same as in last month’s report, on sales which were up 3.6% year-on-year.
Kantar said products bought on special offer accounted for 27.6% of sales, a rise of 0.3 percentage points on last year, showing the growing popularity of promotions such as Tesco’s “Club Card price” and similar deals.
The British Retail Consortium said earlier on Tuesday that food inflation rose to 2.1% last month, its highest rate since September last year, reflecting higher prices for butter, cheese, eggs, bread and cereals.
For the 12 weeks to February 23, market leader Tesco posted a 5.8% rise in sales, while sales at No. 2 Sainsbury’s rose 4.8%. Asda trailed its two bigger competitors, with sales down 5% in the period.
Online supermarket Ocado continued its strong run, posting a 9.6% rise for the period, while discounters Aldi and Lidl also performed strongly with increases of 4.9% and 8.1% respectively.
UK supermarkets’ market share and sales growth
Market share % change in
12 wks to Market sales
Feb 23 2025 share 12 (yr-on-yr)
wks to Feb
25 2024
Tesco 28.3% 27.7% 5.8%
Sainsbury’s 15.7% 15.5% 4.8%
Asda 12.6% 13.7% -5.0%
Aldi 10.3% 10.2% 4.9%
Morrisons 8.6% 8.8%
0.7%
Lidl 7.3% 7.0% 8.1%
Co-operative 5.1% 0.7%
5.3%
Waitrose 4.6% 4.6%
3.2%
Iceland 2.3% 2.3% 0.7%
Ocado 1.9% 1.8% 9.6%
(Reporting by Sarah Young, editing by Paul Sandle and Bernadette Baum)
